Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 6:06:43 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 5:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 8:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high93.3°F ± 0.8°F
Most likely bucket93° to 94° · 91%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=26) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 93.6°F · learned residual -0.3°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 91° to 92° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 93° to 94° | 91.4% | 100¢ | -8.6% |
| 95° to 96° | 8.5% | 1¢ | +7.5% |
| 97° to 98° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 99° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Sep 17Thu | Sep 18Fri | Sep 19Sat | Sep 20Sun | Sep 21Mon | Sep 22Tue | Sep 23Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 93.9°F | 95.0°F | 93.9°F | 95.0°F | 91.0°F | 89.1°F | 93.0°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 93.9°F | 95.0°F | 93.9°F | 93.9°F | 90.0°F | 88.0°F | 91.9°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 93.2°F | 95.0°F | 93.2°F | 95.0°F | 91.4°F | 89.6°F | 93.2°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 93.9°F | 95.0°F | 93.9°F | 95.0°F | 91.0°F | 89.1°F | 93.0°F |
Sep 23 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations15
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:56:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 02:56:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 03:56:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 04:56:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 07:56:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 08:56:00-07:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 09:56:00-07:00 | 81.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 10:56:00-07:00 | 84.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 11:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 12:56:00-07:00 | 89.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 13:56:00-07:00 | 89.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 14:56:00-07:00 | 90.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 15:56:00-07:00 | 91.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 16:56:00-07:00 | 91.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 17:56:00-07:00 | 91.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations209
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:30:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:35:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:40:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:45:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:50:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:55:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:00:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:05:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:10:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:15:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:20:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:25:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:30:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:35:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:40:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:45:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:50:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:55:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:00:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:05:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:10:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:15:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:20:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:25:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:30:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:35:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:40:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:45:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:50:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:55:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:00:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:05:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:10:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:15:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:20:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:25:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:30:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:35:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:40:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:45:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:50:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:55:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:00:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:05:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:10:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:15:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:20:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:25:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:30:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:35:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:40:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:45:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:50:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:55:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:00:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:05:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:10:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:15:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:20:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:25:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:30:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:45:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:50:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:55:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:00:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:05:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:10:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:15:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:20:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:45:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:50:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:55:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:00:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:15:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:55:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:00:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:00:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:00:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:25:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:30:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
6-hour max reports3
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 04:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 81.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 84.9°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 93.0°F |