Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=14) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.2°F · learned residual -0.0°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71° or below | 1.8% | 2¢ | -0.2% |
| 72° to 73° | 27.7% | 15¢ | +12.7% |
| 74° to 75° | 54.9% | 79¢ | -24.1% |
| 76° to 77° | 15.0% | 5¢ | +10.0% |
| 78° to 79° | 0.5% | 2¢ | -1.5% |
| 80° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Nov 2Mon | Nov 3Tue | Nov 4Wed | Nov 5Thu | Nov 6Fri | Nov 7Sat | Nov 8Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 69.1°F | 66.9°F | 69.1°F | 69.1°F | 72.0°F | 73.9°F | 55.0°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 69.1°F | 66.0°F | 69.1°F | 68.0°F | 72.0°F | 73.9°F | 55.0°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 69.8°F | 66.2°F | 69.8°F | 69.8°F | 71.6°F | 73.4°F | 55.4°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 69.1°F | 66.9°F | 69.1°F | 69.1°F | 72.0°F | 73.9°F | — |
Nov 8 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
Hourly raw observations2
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 00:56:00-08:00 | 55.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-08 01:56:00-08:00 | 55.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations14
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 01:00:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:05:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:10:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:15:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:20:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:25:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:30:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:35:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:40:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:45:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 01:50:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 02:00:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 02:05:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
| 2026-11-08 02:10:00-08:00 | 55.4°F |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||