New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 10:09:28 PM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 9:51 PM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 8:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high68.3°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket67° to 68° · 56%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=14) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 66.9°F · raw nowcast 69.8°F · learned residual -1.5°F · seasonal context 73.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 65° to 66° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 67° to 68° | 56.1% | 100¢ | -43.9% |
| 69° to 70° | 42.8% | 1¢ | +41.8% |
| 71° to 72° | 1.1% | 1¢ | +0.1% |
| 73° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 23 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations24
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:51:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 02:51:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 03:51:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 04:51:00-04:00 | 55.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 05:51:00-04:00 | 55.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 06:51:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 07:07:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 07:21:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 07:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 08:51:00-04:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 09:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 10:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 11:13:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 11:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 12:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 13:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 14:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 15:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 16:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 17:51:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 18:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 19:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 20:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 21:51:00-04:00 | 60.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 64.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 57.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 66.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 66.9°F |