Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 8:07:13 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 7:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 9:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high78.1°F ± 1.3°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 81%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 78.1°F · learned residual -2.8°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 78° to 79° | 80.9% | 100¢ | -19.1% |
| 80° to 81° | 18.7% | 1¢ | +17.7% |
| 82° to 83° | 0.5% | 1¢ | -0.5% |
| 84° to 85° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 86° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Sep 17Thu | Sep 18Fri | Sep 19Sat | Sep 20Sun | Sep 21Mon | Sep 22Tue | Sep 23Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 75.9°F | 75.9°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 75.9°F | 77.0°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.8°F | 77.0°F | 75.2°F | 78.8°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F |
Sep 23 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations20
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:53:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 02:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 03:53:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 04:53:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 05:53:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 06:53:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 07:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 08:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 09:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 10:53:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 11:53:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 12:53:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 13:53:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 14:53:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 15:53:00-07:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 16:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 17:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 18:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 19:19:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-23 19:53:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations221
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 01:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:30:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 01:55:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:15:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:25:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:30:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:50:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 02:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:15:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:20:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 03:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:25:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 04:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 05:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 06:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:20:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:25:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:30:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 07:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 08:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 09:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:30:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:40:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:45:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:55:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:00:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:10:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:15:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:20:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:40:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:45:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 11:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:05:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:20:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:45:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:50:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 12:55:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:10:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:15:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:25:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:30:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:35:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:40:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:45:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 13:55:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:00:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:05:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:10:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:15:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:25:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:30:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:45:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 14:55:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:00:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:25:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:50:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 15:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 17:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 18:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-23 19:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
6-hour max reports3
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 04:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 69.1°F |
| 2026-09-23 10:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-23 16:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |