↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 89.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 11:56 AM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 12:05:59 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 11:56 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 1:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high92.2°F ± 1.0°F
Most likely bucket92° to 93° · 64%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=29) · confirmed METAR high 89.1°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 89.6°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 91.0°F · raw nowcast 91.8°F · learned residual +0.4°F · seasonal context 91.7°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
87° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
88° to 89°0.5%2¢-1.5%
90° to 91°25.0%16¢+9.0%
92° to 93°64.1%51¢+13.1%
94° to 95°10.3%28¢-17.7%
96° or above0.1%2¢-1.9%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputNov 21FriNov 22SatNov 23SunNov 24MonNov 25TueNov 26WedNov 27Thu
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Nov 27 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
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5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
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6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—