↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 82.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 1:56 AM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 2:05:39 AM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 1:56 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 3:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high92.0°F ± 2.0°F
Most likely bucket92° to 93° · 37%

Model 0.3.2 · BOOTSTRAP calibration (same-hour settled n=9) · confirmed METAR high 82.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 84.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 91.5°F · raw nowcast 92.0°F · learned residual +0.0°F · seasonal context 91.7°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
87° or below1.3%1¢+0.3%
88° to 89°9.7%6¢+3.7%
90° to 91°30.0%27¢+3.0%
92° to 93°37.0%46¢-9.0%
94° to 95°18.2%19¢-0.8%
96° or above3.8%5¢-1.2%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputFeb 26ThuFeb 27FriFeb 28SatMar 1SunMar 2MonMar 3TueMar 4Wed
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Mar 4 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—