↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 96.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 9:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 26, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 26, 10:05:49 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 26, 9:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 26, 11:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high98.6°F ± 2.2°F
Most likely bucket98° to 99° · 38%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=30) · confirmed METAR high 96.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 96.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 96.1°F · raw nowcast 100.6°F · learned residual -2.0°F · seasonal context 91.8°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
91° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
92° to 93°0.0%1¢-1.0%
94° to 95°0.0%1¢-1.0%
96° to 97°24.6%100¢-75.4%
98° to 99°37.8%1¢+36.8%
100° or above37.6%1¢+36.6%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputMar 30MonMar 31TueApr 1WedApr 2ThuApr 3FriApr 4SatApr 5Sun
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Apr 5 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—