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Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 96.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 8:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 26, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 26, 9:05:53 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 26, 8:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 26, 10:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high98.1°F ± 1.8°F
Most likely bucket98° to 99° · 44%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=30) · confirmed METAR high 96.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 96.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 96.1°F · raw nowcast 99.3°F · learned residual -1.3°F · seasonal context 91.8°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
91° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
92° to 93°0.0%1¢-1.0%
94° to 95°0.0%1¢-1.0%
96° to 97°31.9%100¢-68.1%
98° to 99°43.8%1¢+42.8%
100° or above24.2%1¢+23.2%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputApr 13MonApr 14TueApr 15WedApr 16ThuApr 17FriApr 18SatApr 19Sun
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Apr 19 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—