↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 95.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 1:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 2:06:08 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 1:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 3:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high96.8°F ± 0.8°F
Most likely bucket96° to 97° · 74%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=25) · confirmed METAR high 95.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 95.0°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 96.5°F · raw nowcast 96.5°F · learned residual +0.3°F · seasonal context 92.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
93° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
94° to 95°5.9%1¢+4.9%
96° to 97°73.7%80¢-6.3%
98° to 99°20.3%27¢-6.7%
100° to 101°0.1%1¢-0.9%
102° or above0.0%1¢-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputMay 23SatMay 24SunMay 25MonMay 26TueMay 27WedMay 28ThuMay 29Fri
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

May 29 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—