↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 55.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 3:56 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 4:05:10 AM UTC-08:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 3:56 AM UTC-08:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 5:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high74.5°F ± 1.3°F
Most likely bucket74° to 75° · 55%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=62) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.1°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
71° or below1.2%2¢-0.8%
72° to 73°20.8%12¢+8.8%
74° to 75°54.5%83¢-28.5%
76° to 77°22.2%6¢+16.2%
78° to 79°1.3%2¢-0.7%
80° or above0.0%1¢-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

Open administrator Telegram settings

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputAug 12WedAug 13ThuAug 14FriAug 15SatAug 16SunAug 17MonAug 18Tue
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Aug 18 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—