Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 10:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 11:05:42 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 10:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 24, 12:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high94.8°F ± 2.5°F
Most likely bucket95° to 96° · 37%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=27) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 96.9°F · learned residual -2.2°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
90° or below0.0%-1.0%
91° to 92°0.0%-1.0%
93° to 94°34.0%100¢-66.0%
95° to 96°36.9%+35.9%
97° to 98°21.4%+20.4%
99° or above7.8%+6.8%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputAug 19WedAug 20ThuAug 21FriAug 22SatAug 23SunAug 24MonAug 25Tue
Observed high used
Hourly METAR temperature
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED

Aug 25 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum