Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 7:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 8:06:27 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 7:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 9:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high94.7°F ± 1.4°F
Most likely bucket95° to 96° · 49%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=27) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 95.3°F · learned residual -0.6°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
90° or below0.0%-1.0%
91° to 92°0.0%-1.0%
93° to 94°41.5%100¢-58.5%
95° to 96°48.8%+47.8%
97° to 98°9.4%+8.4%
99° or above0.3%-0.7%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputSep 8TueSep 9WedSep 10ThuSep 11FriSep 12SatSep 13SunSep 14Mon
Observed high used100.0°F104.0°F107.1°F107.1°F102.0°F102.0°F100.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature100.0°F102.9°F105.1°F105.1°F100.9°F100.9°F100.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL100.4°F104.0°F107.6°F105.8°F102.2°F102.2°F100.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED100.0°F104.0°F107.1°F107.1°F102.0°F102.0°F100.0°F

Sep 14 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-14 01:56:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 02:56:00-07:0084.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 03:56:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 04:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 05:56:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 06:56:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 07:56:00-07:0084.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 08:56:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 09:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 10:56:00-07:0091.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 11:56:00-07:0093.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 12:56:00-07:0097.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 13:56:00-07:0098.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 14:56:00-07:0099.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 15:56:00-07:00100.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 16:56:00-07:0099.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 17:56:00-07:0097.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 18:56:00-07:0095.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 19:56:00-07:0091.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 20:56:00-07:0090.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 21:56:00-07:0088.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 22:56:00-07:0087.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-14 23:56:00-07:0084.9°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-14 01:00:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:05:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:10:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:15:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:20:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:25:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:30:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:35:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:40:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-14 01:45:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 01:50:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 01:55:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:00:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:05:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:10:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:15:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:20:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 02:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:30:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:40:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 02:55:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:10:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:30:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:40:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 03:55:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 04:00:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 04:05:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 04:10:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 04:15:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 04:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:30:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:40:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 04:55:00-07:0082.4°F
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2026-09-14 05:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 05:30:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 05:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 05:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 05:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 05:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 05:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 06:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 06:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 06:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 06:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-14 06:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-14 06:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-14 06:30:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-14 06:40:00-07:0082.4°F
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2026-09-14 07:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-14 07:55:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:10:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:30:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:40:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-14 08:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 08:55:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-14 09:00:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-14 09:20:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-14 10:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-14 10:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-14 10:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-14 10:40:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-14 10:45:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-14 10:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-14 10:55:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-14 11:00:00-07:0091.4°F
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2026-09-14 11:15:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-14 11:20:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:25:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:30:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:35:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:40:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:45:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:50:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 11:55:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 12:00:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 12:05:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 12:10:00-07:0095.0°F
2026-09-14 12:15:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-14 12:20:00-07:0095.0°F
2026-09-14 12:25:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 12:30:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 12:35:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 12:40:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 12:45:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-14 12:55:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 13:00:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 13:05:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-14 13:30:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 13:35:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-14 13:40:00-07:0098.6°F
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2026-09-14 14:00:00-07:0098.6°F
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2026-09-14 14:20:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:25:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:30:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:35:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:40:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:45:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:50:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 14:55:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:00:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:05:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:10:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:15:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 15:20:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:25:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 15:30:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:35:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:40:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:45:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 15:50:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 15:55:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 16:00:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 16:05:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:10:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 16:15:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 16:20:00-07:00100.4°F
2026-09-14 16:25:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:30:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:35:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:40:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:45:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:50:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-14 16:55:00-07:0098.6°F
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2026-09-14 17:55:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-14 19:00:00-07:0093.2°F
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2026-09-14 19:15:00-07:0093.2°F
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2026-09-14 19:25:00-07:0093.2°F
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2026-09-14 23:00:00-07:0086.0°F
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2026-09-14 23:20:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-14 23:40:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-14 23:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 00:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 00:05:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-15 00:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 00:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 00:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 00:30:00-07:0084.2°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-14 04:56:00-07:006 hours90.0°F
2026-09-14 10:56:00-07:006 hours91.0°F
2026-09-14 16:56:00-07:006 hours100.0°F
2026-09-14 22:56:00-07:006 hours99.0°F