Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 81.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 12:06:05 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 11:53 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 1:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high81.9°F ± 2.6°F
Most likely bucket82° to 83° · 41%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=18) · confirmed METAR high 81.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 81.0°F · raw nowcast 81.7°F · learned residual +0.2°F · seasonal context 74.7°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 76° to 77° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 78° to 79° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 80° to 81° | 20.2% | 1¢ | +19.2% |
| 82° to 83° | 41.3% | 60¢ | -18.7% |
| 84° or above | 38.5% | 42¢ | -3.5% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Dec 3 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||