↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 10:53 AM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 11:06:20 AM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 10:53 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 12:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high80.6°F ± 2.6°F
Most likely bucket80° to 81° · 34%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=20) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 80.0°F · raw nowcast 80.2°F · learned residual +0.4°F · seasonal context 74.7°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
75° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
76° to 77°0.0%1¢-1.0%
78° to 79°24.8%1¢+23.8%
80° to 81°33.7%55¢-21.3%
82° to 83°26.2%39¢-12.8%
84° or above15.3%11¢+4.3%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputDec 4ThuDec 5FriDec 6SatDec 7SunDec 8MonDec 9TueDec 10Wed
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Dec 10 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
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5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
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6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—