↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 73.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 8:53 AM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 9:05:55 AM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 8:53 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 10:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high80.0°F ± 2.9°F
Most likely bucket80° to 81° · 27%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=19) · confirmed METAR high 73.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 80.0°F · raw nowcast 80.0°F · learned residual +0.0°F · seasonal context 74.7°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
75° or below5.0%1¢+4.0%
76° to 77°13.6%1¢+12.6%
78° to 79°23.7%9¢+14.7%
80° to 81°26.6%47¢-20.4%
82° to 83°19.1%36¢-16.9%
84° or above12.1%11¢+1.1%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputDec 19FriDec 20SatDec 21SunDec 22MonDec 23TueDec 24WedDec 25Thu
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

Dec 25 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
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5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—