Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 81.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 26, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 26, 4:05:24 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 26, 3:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 26, 5:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high83.6°F ± 1.8°F
Most likely bucket83° to 84° · 45%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=19) · confirmed METAR high 81.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 80.6°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 85.0°F · raw nowcast 83.6°F · learned residual -0.1°F · seasonal context 74.4°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 77° to 78° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 79° to 80° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 81° to 82° | 24.0% | 100¢ | -76.0% |
| 83° to 84° | 44.8% | 1¢ | +43.8% |
| 85° or above | 31.2% | 1¢ | +30.2% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
May 29 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
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6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
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