Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 77.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 12:06:20 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 11:53 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 1:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high80.7°F ± 2.4°F
Most likely bucket80° or below · 45%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 77.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 73.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 80.0°F · raw nowcast 80.0°F · learned residual +0.7°F · seasonal context 74.2°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80° or below | 44.6% | 92¢ | -47.4% |
| 81° to 82° | 32.2% | 9¢ | +23.2% |
| 83° to 84° | 17.6% | 3¢ | +14.6% |
| 85° to 86° | 4.9% | 1¢ | +3.9% |
| 87° to 88° | 0.7% | 1¢ | -0.3% |
| 89° or above | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Jun 20 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||