Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 75.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 11:06:49 AM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 10:53 AM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 12:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high81.6°F ± 2.4°F
Most likely bucket81° to 82° · 33%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=18) · confirmed METAR high 75.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 73.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 81.0°F · raw nowcast 80.8°F · learned residual +0.8°F · seasonal context 74.2°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80° or below | 31.7% | 86¢ | -54.3% |
| 81° to 82° | 32.7% | 12¢ | +20.7% |
| 83° to 84° | 24.3% | 6¢ | +18.3% |
| 85° to 86° | 9.3% | 1¢ | +8.3% |
| 87° to 88° | 1.8% | 1¢ | +0.8% |
| 89° or above | 0.2% | 1¢ | -0.8% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Jun 28 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
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5-minute raw observations0
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6-hour max reports0
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