Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 11:05:47 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 10:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 24, 12:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high79.0°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 69%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=17) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 82.6°F · learned residual -3.6°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 78° to 79° | 68.5% | 100¢ | -31.5% |
| 80° to 81° | 31.1% | 1¢ | +30.1% |
| 82° to 83° | 0.4% | 1¢ | -0.6% |
| 84° to 85° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 86° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 6 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations28
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 01:53:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 02:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 03:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 04:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 05:53:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 06:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 07:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 08:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 09:26:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 09:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 10:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 11:53:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 12:53:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 13:29:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 13:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 14:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 15:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 16:18:00-07:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 16:39:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 16:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 17:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 18:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 19:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 20:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 21:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 22:47:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 22:53:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-06 23:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 04:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 75.0°F |
| 2026-09-06 10:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 75.0°F |
| 2026-09-06 16:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 75.9°F |
| 2026-09-06 22:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 75.9°F |