Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles

NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company

Production · cutoff 2:53 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION

Latest model runNov 8, 3:06:32 AM UTC-08:00

Source data generation timeNov 8, 2:53 AM UTC-08:00

Model version0.3.2

Next automatic runNov 8, 4:05 AM PT

Predicted daily high86.9°F ± 3.6°F

Most likely bucket87° to 88° · 22%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=54) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 85.0°F · raw nowcast 86.0°F · learned residual +0.9°F · seasonal context 71.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucket	Model probability	Kalshi YES ask	Estimated edge
82° or below	10.9%	1¢	+9.9%
83° to 84°	14.1%	4¢	+10.1%
85° to 86°	20.4%	27¢	-6.6%
87° to 88°	21.7%	49¢	-27.3%
89° to 90°	17.1%	23¢	-5.9%
91° or above	15.8%	3¢	+12.8%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX

Input	Sep 28Mon	Sep 29Tue	Sep 30Wed	Oct 1Thu	Oct 2Fri	Oct 3Sat	Oct 4Sun
Observed high used	77.0°F	82.9°F	81.0°F	75.9°F	87.1°F	102.0°F	102.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature	77.0°F	82.9°F	80.1°F	75.9°F	84.0°F	100.0°F	100.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL	77.0°F	82.4°F	80.6°F	75.2°F	87.8°F	100.4°F	100.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED	77.0°F	82.9°F	81.0°F	75.9°F	87.1°F	102.0°F	102.0°F

Oct 4 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.

Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT

Hourly raw observations23

Observed at	Temperature	Source
2026-10-04 01:53:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 02:53:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 03:53:00-07:00	79.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 04:53:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 05:53:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 06:53:00-07:00	80.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 07:53:00-07:00	84.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 08:53:00-07:00	89.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 09:53:00-07:00	95.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 10:53:00-07:00	99.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 11:53:00-07:00	99.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 12:53:00-07:00	100.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 13:53:00-07:00	99.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 14:53:00-07:00	91.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 15:53:00-07:00	90.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 16:53:00-07:00	91.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 17:53:00-07:00	87.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 18:53:00-07:00	84.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 19:53:00-07:00	87.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 20:53:00-07:00	87.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 21:53:00-07:00	87.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 22:53:00-07:00	86.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-04 23:53:00-07:00	82.0°F	AviationWeather METAR

5-minute raw observations275

Observed at	Temperature
2026-10-04 01:00:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 01:05:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 01:10:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 01:15:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 01:20:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 01:25:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 01:30:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 01:35:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 01:40:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 01:45:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 01:50:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 01:55:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:00:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:05:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:10:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 02:15:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 02:20:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:25:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:30:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:35:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 02:40:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 02:45:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 02:50:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 02:55:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:00:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:05:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:10:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:15:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 03:20:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 03:25:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 03:30:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:35:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:40:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:45:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:50:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 03:55:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 04:00:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 04:05:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 04:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 04:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 04:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 04:25:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 04:30:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 04:35:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 04:40:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 04:45:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 04:50:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 04:55:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:00:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:05:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:10:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:15:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 05:20:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:25:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:30:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 05:35:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:40:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:45:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:50:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 05:55:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:00:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:05:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:10:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:15:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 06:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 06:30:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:35:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:40:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-04 06:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-04 06:50:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 06:55:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 07:00:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-04 07:05:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 07:10:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 07:15:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 07:20:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 07:25:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 07:30:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 07:35:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 07:40:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 07:45:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 07:50:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 07:55:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 08:00:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 08:05:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 08:10:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 08:15:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 08:20:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 08:25:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 08:30:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 08:35:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 08:40:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 08:45:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 08:50:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 08:55:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 09:00:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 09:05:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 09:10:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 09:15:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 09:20:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 09:25:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 09:30:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 09:35:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 09:40:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 09:45:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 09:50:00-07:00	95.0°F
2026-10-04 09:55:00-07:00	95.0°F
2026-10-04 10:00:00-07:00	95.0°F
2026-10-04 10:05:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 10:10:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 10:15:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 10:20:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 10:25:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 10:30:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 10:35:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 10:40:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 10:45:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 10:50:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 10:55:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:00:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:05:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:10:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:15:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:20:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:25:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:30:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:35:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 11:40:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 11:45:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 11:50:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 11:55:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 12:00:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:05:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:10:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 12:15:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:20:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:25:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:30:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:35:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:40:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:45:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:50:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 12:55:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:00:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:05:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:10:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:15:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:20:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:25:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:30:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:35:00-07:00	100.4°F
2026-10-04 13:40:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 13:45:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 13:50:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 14:00:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 14:05:00-07:00	98.6°F
2026-10-04 14:10:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 14:15:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 14:20:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 14:25:00-07:00	96.8°F
2026-10-04 14:30:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 14:35:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 14:40:00-07:00	93.2°F
2026-10-04 14:45:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 14:50:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 14:55:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 15:00:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 15:05:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:10:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:15:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:20:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:25:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:30:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:35:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:40:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:45:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:50:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 15:55:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:00:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 16:05:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 16:10:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:15:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:20:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:25:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:30:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:40:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:45:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 16:50:00-07:00	91.4°F
2026-10-04 17:05:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:10:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:15:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:20:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:25:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:30:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:35:00-07:00	89.6°F
2026-10-04 17:40:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 17:45:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 17:50:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 17:55:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:00:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:05:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:10:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:15:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:20:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 18:25:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:30:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:35:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:40:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:45:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:50:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 18:55:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 19:00:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 19:05:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 19:10:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 19:15:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:20:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:25:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:30:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:35:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:40:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:45:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:50:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 19:55:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:00:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:05:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 20:10:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:15:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 20:20:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 20:25:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:30:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:35:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:40:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:45:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:50:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 20:55:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:00:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:05:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:10:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:15:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 21:20:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:25:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 21:30:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:35:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:40:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:45:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 21:50:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:00:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:05:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:10:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:15:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:20:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:25:00-07:00	87.8°F
2026-10-04 22:30:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 22:35:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 22:40:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 22:50:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 23:00:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 23:05:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 23:10:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 23:15:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 23:20:00-07:00	86.0°F
2026-10-04 23:25:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 23:30:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 23:35:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-04 23:40:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-04 23:45:00-07:00	84.2°F
2026-10-04 23:50:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-05 00:00:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-05 00:05:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-05 00:10:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-05 00:15:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-05 00:20:00-07:00	82.4°F
2026-10-05 00:25:00-07:00	80.6°F
2026-10-05 00:30:00-07:00	80.6°F

6-hour max reports4

Reported at	Period	Maximum
2026-10-04 04:53:00-07:00	6 hours	84.9°F
2026-10-04 10:53:00-07:00	6 hours	99.0°F
2026-10-04 16:53:00-07:00	6 hours	102.0°F
2026-10-04 22:53:00-07:00	6 hours	91.0°F