Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 2:05:33 AM UTC-08:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 1:53 AM UTC-08:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 3:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high85.8°F ± 2.0°F
Most likely bucket85° to 86° · 38%
Model 0.3.2 · BOOTSTRAP calibration (same-hour settled n=5) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 85.0°F · raw nowcast 85.8°F · learned residual +0.0°F · seasonal context 71.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 4.8% | 1¢ | +3.8% |
| 83° to 84° | 20.6% | 3¢ | +17.6% |
| 85° to 86° | 37.8% | 29¢ | +8.8% |
| 87° to 88° | 27.7% | 48¢ | -20.3% |
| 89° to 90° | 8.1% | 23¢ | -14.9% |
| 91° or above | 1.0% | 3¢ | -2.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Oct 30Fri | Oct 31Sat | Nov 1Sun | Nov 2Mon | Nov 3Tue | Nov 4Wed | Nov 5Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 72.0°F | 72.0°F | 71.1°F | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 75.0°F | 78.1°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 70.0°F | 71.1°F | 70.0°F | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 78.1°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 71.6°F | 71.6°F | 71.6°F | 73.4°F | 73.4°F | 75.2°F | 78.8°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 72.0°F | 72.0°F | 71.1°F | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 75.0°F | 78.1°F |
Nov 5 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations24
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 00:53:00-08:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 01:53:00-08:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 02:53:00-08:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 03:09:00-08:00 | 60.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 03:53:00-08:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 04:53:00-08:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 05:53:00-08:00 | 60.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 06:53:00-08:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 07:53:00-08:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 08:53:00-08:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 09:53:00-08:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 10:53:00-08:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 11:53:00-08:00 | 78.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 12:53:00-08:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 13:53:00-08:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 14:53:00-08:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 15:53:00-08:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 16:53:00-08:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 17:53:00-08:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 18:53:00-08:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 19:53:00-08:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 20:53:00-08:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 21:53:00-08:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-05 22:53:00-08:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations250
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 01:00:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:05:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:10:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:15:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:20:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:25:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:30:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:35:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:40:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:45:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:50:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 01:55:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:00:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:05:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:10:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:15:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:20:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:25:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:30:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:35:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:40:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:45:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:50:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 02:55:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:00:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:05:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:10:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:15:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:20:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:25:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:30:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:35:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:40:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:45:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:50:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 03:55:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:00:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:05:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:10:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:15:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:20:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:25:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:30:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:35:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:40:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:45:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:50:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 04:55:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:00:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:05:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:10:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:15:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:20:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:25:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:30:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:35:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:40:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:45:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:50:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 05:55:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:00:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:05:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:10:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:15:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:20:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:25:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:30:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:35:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:40:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:45:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:50:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 06:55:00-08:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:00:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:05:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:10:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:15:00-08:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:20:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:25:00-08:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:30:00-08:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:35:00-08:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:40:00-08:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:45:00-08:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:50:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 07:55:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:00:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:05:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:10:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:15:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:20:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:25:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:30:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:35:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:40:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:45:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:50:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 08:55:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:00:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:05:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:10:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:15:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:20:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:25:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:30:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:45:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:50:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:55:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:00:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:05:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:10:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:15:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:20:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:25:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:30:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:35:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:40:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:45:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 10:50:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 11:10:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 11:15:00-08:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 11:40:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:00:00-08:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:05:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:10:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:15:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:20:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:25:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:30:00-08:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 12:55:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:00:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:05:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:10:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:15:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:20:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:25:00-08:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:30:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:35:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:40:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:45:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:50:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 13:55:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:00:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:05:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:10:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:15:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:20:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:25:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:30:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:35:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:40:00-08:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:45:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:50:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 14:55:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:00:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:05:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:10:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:15:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:20:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:25:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:30:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:35:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:40:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:45:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:50:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:55:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:00:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:05:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:10:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:15:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:20:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:25:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:30:00-08:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:45:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:50:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 16:55:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:00:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:05:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:10:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:15:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:20:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:25:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:30:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:45:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:50:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 17:55:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:00:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:05:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:10:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:15:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:20:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:25:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:30:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:45:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:50:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 18:55:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:00:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:05:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:10:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:15:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:20:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:25:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:30:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:45:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 19:50:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:20:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:25:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:30:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:35:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:40:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:45:00-08:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:50:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 20:55:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:00:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:05:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:10:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:15:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:20:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:25:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:30:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:35:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:40:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:45:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:50:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:00:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:05:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:10:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:15:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:20:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:25:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:30:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:35:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:40:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:45:00-08:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 22:50:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:00:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:05:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:10:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:15:00-08:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:20:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:25:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-11-05 23:30:00-08:00 | 69.8°F |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 03:53:00-08:00 | 6 hours | 66.9°F |
| 2026-11-05 09:53:00-08:00 | 6 hours | 72.0°F |
| 2026-11-05 15:53:00-08:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |
| 2026-11-05 21:53:00-08:00 | 6 hours | 73.9°F |