New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 57.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 27, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 27, 2:05:29 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 27, 1:51 AM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 27, 12:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high65.0°F ± 2.0°F
Most likely bucket64° or below · 40%
Model 0.3.2 · BOOTSTRAP calibration (same-hour settled n=0) · confirmed METAR high 57.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 65.0°F · raw nowcast 65.0°F · learned residual +0.0°F · seasonal context 71.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 40.4% | 47¢ | -6.6% |
| 65° to 66° | 37.2% | 41¢ | -3.8% |
| 67° to 68° | 18.5% | 12¢ | +6.5% |
| 69° to 70° | 3.7% | 2¢ | +1.7% |
| 71° to 72° | 0.3% | 1¢ | -0.7% |
| 73° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Apr 6 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
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5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
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6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
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