New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 69.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 8:06:06 PM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 7:51 PM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 6:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high69.8°F ± 0.8°F
Most likely bucket69° to 70° · 78%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=18) · confirmed METAR high 69.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 69.1°F · raw nowcast 70.1°F · learned residual -0.2°F · seasonal context 72.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 67° to 68° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 69° to 70° | 77.5% | 100¢ | -22.5% |
| 71° to 72° | 22.4% | 1¢ | +21.4% |
| 73° to 74° | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
| 75° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
May 8 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||