New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 61.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 26, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 26, 6:07:06 PM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 26, 5:51 PM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 26, 4:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high61.4°F ± 0.8°F
Most likely bucket62° to 63° · 53%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=19) · confirmed METAR high 61.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 62.0°F · raw nowcast 62.0°F · learned residual -0.6°F · seasonal context 72.1°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61° or below | 46.9% | 96¢ | -49.1% |
| 62° to 63° | 52.6% | 5¢ | +47.6% |
| 64° to 65° | 0.6% | 1¢ | -0.4% |
| 66° to 67° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 68° to 69° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 70° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Jun 6 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
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5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
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6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
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