New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 61.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 10:06:31 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 9:51 AM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 8:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high69.8°F ± 1.8°F
Most likely bucket69° to 70° · 42%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=18) · confirmed METAR high 61.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 71.0°F · raw nowcast 70.8°F · learned residual -1.0°F · seasonal context 72.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 3.2% | 2¢ | +1.2% |
| 67° to 68° | 20.1% | 14¢ | +6.1% |
| 69° to 70° | 41.8% | 56¢ | -14.2% |
| 71° to 72° | 28.3% | 30¢ | -1.7% |
| 73° to 74° | 6.2% | 5¢ | +1.2% |
| 75° or above | 0.4% | 1¢ | -0.6% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Jul 24 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
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5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
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6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
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