New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 57.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 8:06:14 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 7:51 AM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 6:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high69.9°F ± 1.9°F
Most likely bucket69° to 70° · 40%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=17) · confirmed METAR high 57.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 71.0°F · raw nowcast 71.0°F · learned residual -1.1°F · seasonal context 72.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 3.8% | 3¢ | +0.8% |
| 67° to 68° | 19.9% | 18¢ | +1.9% |
| 69° to 70° | 39.8% | 41¢ | -1.2% |
| 71° to 72° | 28.5% | 29¢ | -0.5% |
| 73° to 74° | 7.3% | 8¢ | -0.7% |
| 75° or above | 0.7% | 1¢ | -0.3% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Aug 8 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||