New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 57.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 3:06:04 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 2:51 AM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 1:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high69.1°F ± 1.8°F
Most likely bucket69° to 70° · 42%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=17) · confirmed METAR high 57.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 70.0°F · raw nowcast 70.0°F · learned residual -0.9°F · seasonal context 72.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 6.8% | 3¢ | +3.8% |
| 67° to 68° | 29.3% | 12¢ | +17.3% |
| 69° to 70° | 42.1% | 35¢ | +7.1% |
| 71° to 72° | 19.0% | 44¢ | -25.0% |
| 73° to 74° | 2.7% | 5¢ | -2.3% |
| 75° or above | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 7 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 01:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 02:51:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 03:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 04:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 05:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 06:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 07:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 08:51:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 09:51:00-04:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 10:51:00-04:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 11:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 12:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 13:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 14:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 15:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 16:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 17:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 18:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 19:51:00-04:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 20:51:00-04:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 21:51:00-04:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 22:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-07 23:51:00-04:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-07 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 66.9°F |
| 2026-09-07 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |
| 2026-09-07 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |