↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 2:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 26, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 26, 3:06:24 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 26, 2:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 26, 4:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high95.9°F ± 0.8°F
Most likely bucket96° to 97° · 69%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=29) · confirmed METAR high 93.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 95.0°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 96.0°F · raw nowcast 95.6°F · learned residual +0.4°F · seasonal context 91.8°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
91° or below0.0%1¢-1.0%
92° to 93°0.0%1¢-1.0%
94° to 95°28.7%62¢-33.3%
96° to 97°68.7%44¢+24.7%
98° to 99°2.6%1¢+1.6%
100° or above0.0%1¢-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputMay 25MonMay 26TueMay 27WedMay 28ThuMay 29FriMay 30SatMay 31Sun
Observed high used———————
Hourly METAR temperature———————
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL———————
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED———————

May 31 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
—
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
—
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
—