Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas

NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 55.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company

Production · cutoff 3:56 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION

Latest model runNov 8, 4:05:10 AM UTC-08:00

Source data generation timeNov 8, 3:56 AM UTC-08:00

Model version0.3.2

Next automatic runNov 8, 5:05 AM PT

Predicted daily high74.5°F ± 1.3°F

Most likely bucket74° to 75° · 55%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=62) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.1°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucket	Model probability	Kalshi YES ask	Estimated edge
71° or below	1.2%	2¢	-0.8%
72° to 73°	20.8%	12¢	+8.8%
74° to 75°	54.5%	83¢	-28.5%
76° to 77°	22.2%	6¢	+16.2%
78° to 79°	1.3%	2¢	-0.7%
80° or above	0.0%	1¢	-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS

Input	Aug 22Sat	Aug 23Sun	Aug 24Mon	Aug 25Tue	Aug 26Wed	Aug 27Thu	Aug 28Fri
Observed high used	—	—	—	—	—	109.0°F	105.1°F
Hourly METAR temperature	—	—	—	—	—	109.0°F	105.1°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Aug 28 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.

Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT

Hourly raw observations23

Observed at	Temperature	Source
2026-08-28 00:56:00-07:00	96.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 01:56:00-07:00	95.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 02:56:00-07:00	93.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 03:56:00-07:00	93.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 04:56:00-07:00	91.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 05:56:00-07:00	91.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 06:56:00-07:00	91.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 07:56:00-07:00	91.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 08:56:00-07:00	96.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 09:56:00-07:00	99.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 10:56:00-07:00	100.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 11:56:00-07:00	102.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 12:56:00-07:00	104.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 13:56:00-07:00	104.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 14:56:00-07:00	105.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 15:56:00-07:00	104.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 16:56:00-07:00	105.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 17:56:00-07:00	102.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 18:56:00-07:00	102.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 19:56:00-07:00	98.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 20:56:00-07:00	99.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 21:56:00-07:00	96.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-08-28 22:56:00-07:00	96.1°F	AviationWeather METAR

5-minute raw observations0

Observed at	Temperature
—

6-hour max reports0

Reported at	Period	Maximum
—