Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 7:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 8:06:27 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 7:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 9:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high94.7°F ± 1.4°F
Most likely bucket95° to 96° · 49%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=27) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 95.3°F · learned residual -0.6°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
90° or below0.0%-1.0%
91° to 92°0.0%-1.0%
93° to 94°41.5%100¢-58.5%
95° to 96°48.8%+47.8%
97° to 98°9.4%+8.4%
99° or above0.3%-0.7%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputSep 9WedSep 10ThuSep 11FriSep 12SatSep 13SunSep 14MonSep 15Tue
Observed high used104.0°F107.1°F107.1°F102.0°F102.0°F100.0°F98.1°F
Hourly METAR temperature102.9°F105.1°F105.1°F100.9°F100.9°F100.0°F98.1°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL104.0°F107.6°F105.8°F102.2°F102.2°F100.4°F98.6°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED104.0°F107.1°F107.1°F102.0°F102.0°F100.0°F98.1°F

Sep 15 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations24
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-15 01:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 02:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 03:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 04:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 05:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 06:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 07:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 08:56:00-07:0087.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 09:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 10:56:00-07:0091.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 11:56:00-07:0093.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 12:56:00-07:0093.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 13:56:00-07:0093.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 14:46:00-07:0096.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 14:56:00-07:0097.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 15:56:00-07:0098.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 16:56:00-07:0096.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 17:56:00-07:0095.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 18:56:00-07:0093.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 19:56:00-07:0091.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 20:56:00-07:0090.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 21:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 22:56:00-07:0087.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 23:56:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-15 01:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 01:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 01:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 01:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 02:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 02:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 02:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 03:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 03:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 03:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 03:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 03:50:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 04:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 04:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 04:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 04:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 04:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 04:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 04:40:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 04:50:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-15 05:35:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 05:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 06:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 06:05:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 06:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 06:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 06:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 06:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 06:35:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-15 07:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 07:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 07:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 07:40:00-07:0082.4°F
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2026-09-15 07:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 07:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-15 08:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 08:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 08:10:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-15 08:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 08:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-15 08:30:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-15 08:35:00-07:0086.0°F
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2026-09-15 10:40:00-07:0091.4°F
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2026-09-15 10:50:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-15 12:20:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-15 12:25:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-15 12:30:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-15 12:35:00-07:0093.2°F
2026-09-15 12:40:00-07:0093.2°F
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2026-09-15 13:45:00-07:0093.2°F
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2026-09-15 14:05:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 14:35:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-15 14:40:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-15 14:45:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-15 14:50:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 15:00:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 15:20:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 15:35:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 15:45:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 15:55:00-07:0098.6°F
2026-09-15 16:00:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-15 16:30:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-15 16:35:00-07:0096.8°F
2026-09-15 16:40:00-07:0096.8°F
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2026-09-16 00:00:00-07:0086.0°F
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2026-09-16 00:25:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-16 00:30:00-07:0084.2°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-15 04:56:00-07:006 hours87.1°F
2026-09-15 10:56:00-07:006 hours91.0°F
2026-09-15 16:56:00-07:006 hours98.1°F
2026-09-15 22:56:00-07:006 hours97.0°F