Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=61) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.3°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71° or below | 1.0% | 2¢ | -1.0% |
| 72° to 73° | 19.2% | 13¢ | +6.2% |
| 74° to 75° | 54.7% | 79¢ | -24.3% |
| 76° to 77° | 23.7% | 6¢ | +17.7% |
| 78° to 79° | 1.5% | 2¢ | -0.5% |
| 80° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Oct 18Sun | Oct 19Mon | Oct 20Tue | Oct 21Wed | Oct 22Thu | Oct 23Fri | Oct 24Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | — | 81.0°F | 82.0°F | 84.9°F | 77.0°F | 70.0°F | 73.9°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | — | 80.1°F | 82.0°F | 84.0°F | 75.9°F | 69.1°F | 73.9°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 77.0°F | 80.6°F | 82.4°F | 84.2°F | 77.0°F | 69.8°F | 73.4°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | — | 81.0°F | 82.0°F | 84.9°F | 77.0°F | 70.0°F | 73.9°F |
Oct 24 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
Hourly raw observations27
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 01:56:00-07:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 02:56:00-07:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 03:56:00-07:00 | 60.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 04:56:00-07:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 05:56:00-07:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 06:56:00-07:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 07:56:00-07:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 08:56:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 09:56:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 10:56:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 11:56:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 12:00:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 12:56:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 13:56:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 14:56:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 15:08:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 15:56:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 16:56:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 17:11:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 17:28:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 17:56:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 18:56:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 19:56:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 20:56:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 21:56:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 22:56:00-07:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-10-24 23:56:00-07:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations280
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 01:00:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:10:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:15:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:20:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:25:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:30:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:35:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:40:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:45:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:50:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 01:55:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:00:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:05:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:10:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:15:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:20:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:25:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:30:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:35:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:40:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:45:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:50:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 02:55:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:00:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:05:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:10:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:15:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:20:00-07:00 | 57.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:25:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:30:00-07:00 | 59.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:35:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:40:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:45:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:50:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 03:55:00-07:00 | 60.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:00:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:40:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:45:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:50:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 04:55:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:00:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:40:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:45:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:50:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 05:55:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:00:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:40:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:45:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:50:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 06:55:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:00:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:05:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:10:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:15:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:25:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:30:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:35:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:40:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:45:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:50:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 07:55:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:00:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:40:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:45:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:50:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 08:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 09:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 11:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 12:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 13:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 14:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 15:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 17:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 18:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:50:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 19:55:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:15:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:30:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 20:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 21:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:40:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:45:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:50:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:00:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:05:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:10:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:15:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:20:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:40:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-24 23:45:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:00:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:05:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:10:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:15:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:20:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:25:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
| 2026-10-25 00:30:00-07:00 | 62.6°F |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 04:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 64.9°F |
| 2026-10-24 10:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 68.0°F |
| 2026-10-24 16:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 73.9°F |
| 2026-10-24 22:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 71.1°F |