↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 55.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 2:56 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 3:06:09 AM UTC-08:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 2:56 AM UTC-08:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 4:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high74.6°F ± 1.3°F
Most likely bucket74° to 75° · 55%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=61) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.3°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
71° or below1.0%2¢-1.0%
72° to 73°19.2%13¢+6.2%
74° to 75°54.7%79¢-24.3%
76° to 77°23.7%6¢+17.7%
78° to 79°1.5%2¢-0.5%
80° or above0.0%1¢-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputOct 12MonOct 13TueOct 14WedOct 15ThuOct 16FriOct 17SatOct 18Sun
Observed high used73.0°F64.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F75.9°F—
Hourly METAR temperature72.0°F63.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F75.0°F—
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL73.4°F64.4°F75.2°F80.6°F82.4°F75.2°F77.0°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED73.0°F64.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F75.9°F—

Oct 18 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations0
Observed atTemperatureSource
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5-minute raw observations280
Observed atTemperature
2026-10-18 01:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 01:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 02:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 03:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 04:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 05:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 06:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 07:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 08:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 08:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 09:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 09:05:00-07:0068.0°F
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2026-10-18 09:15:00-07:0068.0°F
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2026-10-18 09:25:00-07:0068.0°F
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2026-10-18 09:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 09:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 10:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 10:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 10:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 10:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 10:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 10:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 10:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 11:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 11:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 11:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 12:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 13:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 13:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 13:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 13:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 13:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 13:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 14:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 15:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 15:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 15:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 15:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 15:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 16:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 16:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 16:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 16:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 17:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-18 17:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 17:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 18:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 19:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-18 20:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 20:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 20:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 20:15:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-10-18 20:25:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-10-18 20:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 20:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 20:45:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-10-18 20:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 21:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-18 21:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 21:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-18 21:40:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-10-18 21:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 21:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 22:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-18 22:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 22:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 22:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 23:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-18 23:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-18 23:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-19 00:25:00-07:0066.2°F
6-hour max reports0
Reported atPeriodMaximum
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