Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 2:05:33 AM UTC-08:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 1:53 AM UTC-08:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 3:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high85.8°F ± 2.0°F
Most likely bucket85° to 86° · 38%
Model 0.3.2 · BOOTSTRAP calibration (same-hour settled n=5) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 85.0°F · raw nowcast 85.8°F · learned residual +0.0°F · seasonal context 71.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82° or below | 4.8% | 1¢ | +3.8% |
| 83° to 84° | 20.6% | 3¢ | +17.6% |
| 85° to 86° | 37.8% | 29¢ | +8.8% |
| 87° to 88° | 27.7% | 48¢ | -20.3% |
| 89° to 90° | 8.1% | 23¢ | -14.9% |
| 91° or above | 1.0% | 3¢ | -2.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Nov 2Mon | Nov 3Tue | Nov 4Wed | Nov 5Thu | Nov 6Fri | Nov 7Sat | Nov 8Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 75.0°F | 78.1°F | 82.9°F | 84.9°F | 66.9°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 78.1°F | 82.9°F | 84.0°F | 66.9°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 73.4°F | 73.4°F | 75.2°F | 78.8°F | 82.4°F | 84.2°F | — |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 73.0°F | 73.0°F | 75.0°F | 78.1°F | 82.9°F | 84.9°F | — |
Nov 8 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations2
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 00:53:00-08:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-11-08 01:53:00-08:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||