Los Angeles daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.
TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 9:05:29 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 8:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 10:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high79.2°F ± 1.0°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 60%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=15) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 82.0°F · learned residual -2.8°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 78° to 79° | 60.4% | 100¢ | -39.6% |
| 80° to 81° | 38.4% | 1¢ | +37.4% |
| 82° to 83° | 1.2% | 1¢ | +0.2% |
| 84° to 85° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 86° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Sep 16Wed | Sep 17Thu | Sep 18Fri | Sep 19Sat | Sep 20Sun | Sep 21Mon | Sep 22Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 79.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 78.1°F | 75.9°F | 75.9°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 75.9°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 78.8°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.8°F | 77.0°F | 75.2°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 79.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F | 78.1°F | 77.0°F | 77.0°F |
Sep 22 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations25
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 01:53:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 02:53:00-07:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 03:53:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 04:53:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 05:53:00-07:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 06:53:00-07:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 07:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 08:53:00-07:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 09:53:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 10:03:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 10:25:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 10:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 11:53:00-07:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 12:53:00-07:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 13:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 14:53:00-07:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 15:53:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 16:53:00-07:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 17:53:00-07:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 18:53:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 19:53:00-07:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 20:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 21:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 22:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-22 23:53:00-07:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations281
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 01:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:15:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:20:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:25:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 01:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:00:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:05:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:10:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:15:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:20:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:25:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:30:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 02:55:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:25:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 03:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:30:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:35:00-07:00 | 64.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 04:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 05:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:35:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:40:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:45:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:50:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 06:55:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:00:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:05:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:10:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:15:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:20:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:25:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:30:00-07:00 | 66.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:35:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:40:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:45:00-07:00 | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 07:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 08:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 09:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 11:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:40:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:50:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 12:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:20:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:25:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:35:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:45:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 13:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:00:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:05:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:10:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:15:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:30:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 14:55:00-07:00 | 75.2°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 15:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:05:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:10:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:20:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:25:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:30:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:35:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:40:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:45:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:50:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:55:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:00:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:15:00-07:00 | 73.4°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 17:55:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:00:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:05:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:10:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:15:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:20:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:25:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:30:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:35:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:40:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:45:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:50:00-07:00 | 71.6°F |
| 2026-09-22 18:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 19:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 20:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 21:55:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:35:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:40:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:45:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-22 23:50:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:00:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:05:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:10:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:15:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:20:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:25:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
| 2026-09-23 00:30:00-07:00 | 69.8°F |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 04:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 71.1°F |
| 2026-09-22 10:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 73.9°F |
| 2026-09-22 16:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-22 22:53:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 73.0°F |