Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 8:53 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 9:05:29 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 8:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 10:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high79.2°F ± 1.0°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 60%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=15) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 82.0°F · learned residual -2.8°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
77° or below0.0%-1.0%
78° to 79°60.4%100¢-39.6%
80° to 81°38.4%+37.4%
82° to 83°1.2%+0.2%
84° to 85°0.0%-1.0%
86° or above0.0%-1.0%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputSep 13SunSep 14MonSep 15TueSep 16WedSep 17ThuSep 18FriSep 19Sat
Observed high used79.0°F80.1°F81.0°F79.0°F78.1°F77.0°F77.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature78.1°F78.1°F80.1°F78.1°F75.9°F75.9°F77.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL78.8°F80.6°F80.6°F78.8°F77.0°F77.0°F77.0°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED79.0°F80.1°F81.0°F79.0°F78.1°F77.0°F77.0°F

Sep 19 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations26
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-19 01:53:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 02:53:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 03:53:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 04:53:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 05:53:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 06:53:00-07:0066.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 07:53:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 08:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 09:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 10:27:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 10:53:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 11:53:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 12:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 13:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 14:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 15:53:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 16:53:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 17:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 18:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 19:40:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 19:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 20:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 21:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 22:53:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 23:33:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-19 23:53:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations280
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-19 01:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 01:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 01:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 01:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 01:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 01:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 01:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 02:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 02:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 02:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 02:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 02:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 03:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 03:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 04:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 05:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 05:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:20:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:25:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:30:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:35:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:40:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:45:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:50:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 06:55:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 07:00:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 07:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 07:10:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 07:15:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-09-19 07:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 07:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 07:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 07:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-09-19 07:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 07:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 07:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 07:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 08:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 08:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 08:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 08:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 09:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 10:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 10:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 10:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 11:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 12:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 12:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 13:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 13:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 14:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-19 14:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 14:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 15:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 16:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 16:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 16:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 16:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-19 16:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 16:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-19 17:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 18:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 19:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-19 19:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 19:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:15:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-19 20:25:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-19 20:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 20:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 21:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 22:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-19 23:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-20 00:25:00-07:0069.8°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-19 04:53:00-07:006 hours69.1°F
2026-09-19 10:53:00-07:006 hours75.0°F
2026-09-19 16:53:00-07:006 hours77.0°F
2026-09-19 22:53:00-07:006 hours73.9°F