Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles

NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 69.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company

Production · cutoff 3:53 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 9, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION

Latest model runNov 9, 4:05:17 AM UTC-08:00

Source data generation timeNov 9, 3:53 AM UTC-08:00

Model version0.3.2

Next automatic runNov 9, 5:05 AM PT

Predicted daily high85.2°F ± 3.5°F

Most likely bucket88° or above · 26%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=56) · confirmed METAR high 69.1°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 84.0°F · raw nowcast 84.5°F · learned residual +0.8°F · seasonal context 70.8°F (n=75)

Temperature bucket	Model probability	Kalshi YES ask	Estimated edge
79° or below	5.1%	1¢	+4.1%
80° to 81°	9.3%	1¢	+8.3%
82° to 83°	16.8%	4¢	+12.8%
84° to 85°	22.0%	28¢	-6.0%
86° to 87°	21.0%	60¢	-39.0%
88° or above	25.8%	11¢	+14.8%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX

Input	Oct 4Sun	Oct 5Mon	Oct 6Tue	Oct 7Wed	Oct 8Thu	Oct 9Fri	Oct 10Sat
Observed high used	102.0°F	100.9°F	93.9°F	86.0°F	80.1°F	77.0°F	79.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature	100.0°F	100.9°F	93.9°F	84.9°F	80.1°F	77.0°F	77.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL	100.4°F	100.4°F	93.2°F	86.0°F	80.6°F	77.0°F	78.8°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED	102.0°F	100.9°F	93.9°F	86.0°F	80.1°F	77.0°F	79.0°F

Oct 10 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.

Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT

Hourly raw observations23

Observed at	Temperature	Source
2026-10-10 01:53:00-07:00	69.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 02:53:00-07:00	68.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 03:53:00-07:00	68.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 04:53:00-07:00	69.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 05:53:00-07:00	69.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 06:53:00-07:00	69.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 07:53:00-07:00	70.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 08:53:00-07:00	72.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 09:53:00-07:00	73.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 10:53:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 11:53:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 12:53:00-07:00	73.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 13:53:00-07:00	73.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 14:53:00-07:00	72.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 15:53:00-07:00	75.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 16:53:00-07:00	75.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 17:53:00-07:00	75.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 18:53:00-07:00	75.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 19:53:00-07:00	75.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 20:53:00-07:00	75.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 21:53:00-07:00	75.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 22:53:00-07:00	73.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-10-10 23:53:00-07:00	73.0°F	AviationWeather METAR

5-minute raw observations281

Observed at	Temperature
2026-10-10 01:00:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 01:55:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:00:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 02:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 02:45:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 02:50:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 02:55:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 03:00:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 03:05:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 03:10:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 03:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 03:55:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:00:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 04:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 04:15:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:20:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:25:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:30:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:35:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:40:00-07:00	68.0°F
2026-10-10 04:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 04:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 04:55:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:00:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 05:55:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:00:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 06:55:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:00:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:25:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:30:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:35:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:40:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:45:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:50:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 07:55:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:00:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:05:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:10:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:15:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:20:00-07:00	69.8°F
2026-10-10 08:25:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:30:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:35:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:40:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:45:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:50:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 08:55:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 09:00:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 09:05:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 09:10:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 09:15:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 09:20:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:25:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:35:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:40:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:50:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 09:55:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 10:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:20:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 10:25:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 10:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 10:40:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 10:45:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 10:50:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 10:55:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 11:00:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:05:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:10:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:15:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:20:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:25:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:30:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:35:00-07:00	78.8°F
2026-10-10 11:40:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 11:45:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 11:50:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 11:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 12:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 12:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 12:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 12:15:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:20:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:25:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:35:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:40:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:50:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 12:55:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:00:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 13:05:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 13:10:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 13:15:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 13:20:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:25:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:35:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:40:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:50:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 13:55:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 14:00:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:05:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:10:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:15:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:20:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:25:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:30:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:35:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 14:40:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 14:50:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 14:55:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:00:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:05:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:10:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:15:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 15:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 15:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 16:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 17:55:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 18:00:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 18:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:20:00-07:00	77.0°F
2026-10-10 18:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 18:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 19:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 20:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:30:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:35:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:40:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:45:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:50:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 21:55:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:00:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:05:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:10:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:15:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:20:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:25:00-07:00	75.2°F
2026-10-10 22:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 22:35:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 22:40:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 22:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 22:50:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:00:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:05:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:10:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:15:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:20:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:25:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:30:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:35:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-10 23:40:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:45:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-10 23:50:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:00:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:05:00-07:00	71.6°F
2026-10-11 00:10:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:15:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:20:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:25:00-07:00	73.4°F
2026-10-11 00:30:00-07:00	71.6°F

6-hour max reports4

Reported at	Period	Maximum
2026-10-10 04:53:00-07:00	6 hours	70.0°F
2026-10-10 10:53:00-07:00	6 hours	77.0°F
2026-10-10 16:53:00-07:00	6 hours	79.0°F
2026-10-10 22:53:00-07:00	6 hours	77.0°F