New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 57.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 25, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 25, 3:06:04 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 25, 2:51 AM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 25, 1:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high69.1°F ± 1.8°F
Most likely bucket69° to 70° · 42%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=17) · confirmed METAR high 57.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 70.0°F · raw nowcast 70.0°F · learned residual -0.9°F · seasonal context 72.6°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66° or below | 6.8% | 3¢ | +3.8% |
| 67° to 68° | 29.3% | 12¢ | +17.3% |
| 69° to 70° | 42.1% | 35¢ | +7.1% |
| 71° to 72° | 19.0% | 44¢ | -25.0% |
| 73° to 74° | 2.7% | 5¢ | -2.3% |
| 75° or above | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 9 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 01:51:00-04:00 | 70.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 02:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 03:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 04:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 05:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 06:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 07:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 08:51:00-04:00 | 73.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 09:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 10:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 11:51:00-04:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 12:51:00-04:00 | 81.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 13:51:00-04:00 | 81.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 14:51:00-04:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 15:51:00-04:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 16:51:00-04:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 17:51:00-04:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 18:51:00-04:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 19:51:00-04:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 20:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 21:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 22:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-09 23:51:00-04:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 73.9°F |
| 2026-09-09 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 71.1°F |
| 2026-09-09 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 81.0°F |
| 2026-09-09 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 82.0°F |