New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 11:07:59 PM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 10:51 PM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 9:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high68.3°F ± 1.0°F
Most likely bucket67° to 68° · 56%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 66.9°F · raw nowcast 70.4°F · learned residual -2.1°F · seasonal context 73.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 65° to 66° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 67° to 68° | 56.4% | 100¢ | -43.6% |
| 69° to 70° | 42.4% | 1¢ | +41.4% |
| 71° to 72° | 1.2% | 1¢ | +0.2% |
| 73° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 21 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations28
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 01:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 02:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 03:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 04:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 05:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 06:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 07:32:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 07:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 08:31:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 08:47:00-04:00 | 62.6°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 08:51:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 09:01:00-04:00 | 62.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 09:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 10:23:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 10:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 11:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 12:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 13:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 14:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 15:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 16:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 17:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 18:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 19:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 20:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 21:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 22:51:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-21 23:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 69.1°F |
| 2026-09-21 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 64.0°F |
| 2026-09-21 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 71.1°F |
| 2026-09-21 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 72.0°F |