Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=62) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.1°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71° or below | 1.2% | 2¢ | -0.8% |
| 72° to 73° | 20.8% | 12¢ | +8.8% |
| 74° to 75° | 54.5% | 83¢ | -28.5% |
| 76° to 77° | 22.2% | 6¢ | +16.2% |
| 78° to 79° | 1.3% | 2¢ | -0.7% |
| 80° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Aug 31 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
Hourly raw observations22
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 00:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 01:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 02:56:00-07:00 | 84.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 03:56:00-07:00 | 84.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 04:56:00-07:00 | 84.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 05:56:00-07:00 | 82.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 06:56:00-07:00 | 82.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 07:56:00-07:00 | 84.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 08:56:00-07:00 | 88.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 09:56:00-07:00 | 91.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 10:56:00-07:00 | 91.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 11:56:00-07:00 | 93.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 12:56:00-07:00 | 96.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 13:56:00-07:00 | 100.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 15:56:00-07:00 | 99.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 16:56:00-07:00 | 99.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 17:19:00-07:00 | 99.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 17:56:00-07:00 | 97.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 18:56:00-07:00 | 95.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 20:56:00-07:00 | 90.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 21:56:00-07:00 | 89.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-08-31 22:56:00-07:00 | 89.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports0
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| — | ||