Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=27) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 96.3°F · learned residual -1.1°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 91° to 92° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 93° to 94° | 31.5% | 100¢ | -68.5% |
| 95° to 96° | 43.2% | 1¢ | +42.2% |
| 97° to 98° | 21.4% | 1¢ | +20.4% |
| 99° or above | 4.0% | 1¢ | +3.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 5 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
Hourly raw observations23
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:56:00-07:00 | 82.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 01:56:00-07:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 02:56:00-07:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 03:56:00-07:00 | 78.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 04:56:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 05:56:00-07:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 06:56:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 07:56:00-07:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 08:56:00-07:00 | 81.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 09:56:00-07:00 | 84.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 10:56:00-07:00 | 88.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 11:56:00-07:00 | 91.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 12:56:00-07:00 | 95.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 13:56:00-07:00 | 97.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 14:56:00-07:00 | 97.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 15:56:00-07:00 | 98.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 16:56:00-07:00 | 96.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 17:56:00-07:00 | 95.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 18:56:00-07:00 | 93.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 19:56:00-07:00 | 91.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 20:56:00-07:00 | 90.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 21:56:00-07:00 | 88.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-05 22:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports3
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 10:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 88.0°F |
| 2026-09-05 16:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 98.1°F |
| 2026-09-05 22:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 96.1°F |