Las Vegas daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.
TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 7:07:07 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 6:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 8:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high94.0°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket93° to 94° · 70%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=26) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 94.5°F · learned residual -0.5°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 91° to 92° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 93° to 94° | 69.7% | 100¢ | -30.3% |
| 95° to 96° | 30.0% | 1¢ | +29.0% |
| 97° to 98° | 0.2% | 1¢ | -0.8% |
| 99° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Telegram daily forecast
Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.
Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.
Open administrator Telegram settingsModel input data
Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
| Input | Sep 11Fri | Sep 12Sat | Sep 13Sun | Sep 14Mon | Sep 15Tue | Sep 16Wed | Sep 17Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed high used | 107.1°F | 102.0°F | 102.0°F | 100.0°F | 98.1°F | 98.1°F | 93.9°F |
| Hourly METAR temperature | 105.1°F | 100.9°F | 100.9°F | 100.0°F | 98.1°F | 98.1°F | 93.9°F |
| 5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL | 105.8°F | 102.2°F | 102.2°F | 100.4°F | 98.6°F | 98.6°F | 93.2°F |
| 6-hour maxTCONFIRMED | 107.1°F | 102.0°F | 102.0°F | 100.0°F | 98.1°F | 98.1°F | 93.9°F |
Sep 17 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations21
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 01:56:00-07:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 02:56:00-07:00 | 79.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 04:56:00-07:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 06:56:00-07:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 07:56:00-07:00 | 78.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 08:56:00-07:00 | 80.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 09:56:00-07:00 | 82.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 10:56:00-07:00 | 84.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 11:56:00-07:00 | 88.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 12:56:00-07:00 | 89.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 13:56:00-07:00 | 91.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 14:56:00-07:00 | 93.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 15:56:00-07:00 | 93.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 16:56:00-07:00 | 91.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 17:56:00-07:00 | 90.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 18:56:00-07:00 | 88.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 19:56:00-07:00 | 87.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 20:56:00-07:00 | 87.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 21:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 22:56:00-07:00 | 86.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-17 23:56:00-07:00 | 84.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations245
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 01:00:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:05:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:10:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:15:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:20:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:25:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:30:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:35:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:40:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:45:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:50:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 01:55:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:00:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:05:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:10:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:15:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:20:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:25:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:30:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:35:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:40:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:45:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:50:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 02:55:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:00:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:05:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:10:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:15:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:20:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:25:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:30:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:35:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:40:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 03:45:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 06:50:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 06:55:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:00:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:05:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:10:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:15:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:20:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:25:00-07:00 | 77.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:30:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:35:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:40:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:45:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:50:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 07:55:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:00:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:05:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:10:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:15:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:20:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:25:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:30:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:35:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:40:00-07:00 | 78.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:45:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:50:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 08:55:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:00:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:05:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:10:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:15:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:20:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:25:00-07:00 | 80.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:30:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:35:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:40:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:45:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:50:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 09:55:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:00:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:05:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:10:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:15:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:20:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:25:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:30:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:35:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:40:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:45:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:50:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:55:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:00:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:05:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:10:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:15:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:20:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:25:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:30:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:35:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:40:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:45:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:50:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 11:55:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:00:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:05:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:10:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:15:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:20:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:25:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:30:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:35:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:40:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:45:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:50:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 12:55:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:00:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:15:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:20:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 13:55:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:00:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:25:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:45:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 14:55:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:00:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:40:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 15:55:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:00:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:05:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:10:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:15:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:25:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:30:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:35:00-07:00 | 93.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:55:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:00:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:05:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:10:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:15:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:20:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:25:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:30:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:35:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:40:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:45:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:50:00-07:00 | 91.4°F |
| 2026-09-17 17:55:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:00:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:05:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:10:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:15:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:20:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:25:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:30:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:35:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:40:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:45:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:50:00-07:00 | 89.6°F |
| 2026-09-17 18:55:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:00:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:05:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:10:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:15:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:20:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:25:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:30:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:35:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:40:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:45:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:50:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 19:55:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:00:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:05:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:10:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:15:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:20:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:25:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:30:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:35:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:40:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:45:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:50:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 20:55:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:00:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:05:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:10:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:15:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:20:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:25:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:30:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:35:00-07:00 | 87.8°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:40:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:45:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:50:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 21:55:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:00:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:05:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:10:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:15:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:20:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:25:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:30:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:35:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:40:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:45:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:50:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:00:00-07:00 | 86.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:05:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:10:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:15:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:20:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:25:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:30:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:35:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:40:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:45:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-17 23:50:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:00:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:05:00-07:00 | 84.2°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:10:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:15:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:20:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:25:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
| 2026-09-18 00:30:00-07:00 | 82.4°F |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 04:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 81.0°F |
| 2026-09-17 10:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 84.9°F |
| 2026-09-17 16:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 93.9°F |
| 2026-09-17 22:56:00-07:00 | 6 hours | 91.9°F |