Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 6:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 7:07:07 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 6:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 8:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high94.0°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket93° to 94° · 70%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=26) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 94.5°F · learned residual -0.5°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
90° or below0.0%-1.0%
91° to 92°0.0%-1.0%
93° to 94°69.7%100¢-30.3%
95° to 96°30.0%+29.0%
97° to 98°0.2%-0.8%
99° or above0.0%-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputSep 15TueSep 16WedSep 17ThuSep 18FriSep 19SatSep 20SunSep 21Mon
Observed high used98.1°F98.1°F93.9°F95.0°F93.9°F95.0°F91.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature98.1°F98.1°F93.9°F95.0°F93.9°F93.9°F90.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL98.6°F98.6°F93.2°F95.0°F93.2°F95.0°F91.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED98.1°F98.1°F93.9°F95.0°F93.9°F95.0°F91.0°F

Sep 21 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-21 01:56:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 02:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 03:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 04:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 05:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 06:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 07:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 08:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 09:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 10:56:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 11:56:00-07:0087.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 12:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 13:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 14:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 15:56:00-07:0090.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 16:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 17:56:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 18:56:00-07:0088.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 19:56:00-07:0087.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 20:56:00-07:0084.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 21:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 22:56:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-21 23:56:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-21 01:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 01:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 02:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 02:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 03:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 03:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 04:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 05:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 05:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 05:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 05:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 06:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 06:55:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-21 07:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 07:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 07:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 07:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 08:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 08:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 09:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 09:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 09:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 09:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 09:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 09:25:00-07:0082.4°F
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2026-09-21 09:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 09:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 09:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 09:55:00-07:0084.2°F
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2026-09-21 10:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 10:10:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 10:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 10:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 10:25:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-21 10:30:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-21 10:35:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-21 10:40:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 12:05:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 12:20:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-21 12:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 12:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 12:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 12:40:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-21 12:45:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 12:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 12:55:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 13:00:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 13:30:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 13:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 13:45:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 13:55:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 14:05:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 14:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:45:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 14:55:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:00:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:10:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:15:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:20:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 15:40:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-21 15:45:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-21 15:50:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-21 15:55:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-21 16:00:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:10:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:15:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:20:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:45:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 16:55:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:00:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:10:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:15:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:20:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:30:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 17:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-21 17:45:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 18:00:00-07:0089.6°F
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2026-09-21 18:20:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 18:35:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 18:55:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-21 19:00:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-21 19:05:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 19:20:00-07:0087.8°F
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2026-09-21 20:35:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-21 20:40:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 20:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 20:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 20:55:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 21:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 21:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-21 21:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 21:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 21:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-21 21:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 21:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 21:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 21:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 21:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-21 21:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 21:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 22:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 22:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-21 22:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 22:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-21 22:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 22:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-21 23:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-21 23:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-22 00:30:00-07:0071.6°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-21 04:56:00-07:006 hours82.9°F
2026-09-21 10:56:00-07:006 hours87.1°F
2026-09-21 16:56:00-07:006 hours91.0°F
2026-09-21 22:56:00-07:006 hours89.1°F