↗ Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 55.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 2:56 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 3:06:09 AM UTC-08:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 2:56 AM UTC-08:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 4:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high74.6°F ± 1.3°F
Most likely bucket74° to 75° · 55%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=61) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.3°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
71° or below1.0%2¢-1.0%
72° to 73°19.2%13¢+6.2%
74° to 75°54.7%79¢-24.3%
76° to 77°23.7%6¢+17.7%
78° to 79°1.5%2¢-0.5%
80° or above0.0%1¢-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputOct 10SatOct 11SunOct 12MonOct 13TueOct 14WedOct 15ThuOct 16Fri
Observed high used87.1°F73.9°F73.0°F64.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F
Hourly METAR temperature87.1°F73.0°F72.0°F63.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL87.8°F73.4°F73.4°F64.4°F75.2°F80.6°F82.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED87.1°F73.9°F73.0°F64.0°F75.0°F81.0°F82.9°F

Oct 16 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-10-16 01:56:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 02:56:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 03:56:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 04:56:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 05:56:00-07:0068.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 06:56:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 07:56:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 08:56:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 09:56:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 10:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 11:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 12:56:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 13:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 14:56:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 15:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 16:56:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 17:56:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 18:56:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 19:56:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 20:56:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 21:56:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 22:56:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-10-16 23:56:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations280
Observed atTemperature
2026-10-16 01:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 01:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 02:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 02:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 02:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 02:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 02:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 02:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 03:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:45:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 04:55:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:05:00-07:0066.2°F
2026-10-16 05:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:25:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:35:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:40:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 05:50:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 05:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:00:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:05:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:10:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:15:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:20:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:30:00-07:0068.0°F
2026-10-16 06:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 06:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 07:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 08:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 08:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-10-16 08:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 08:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 09:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 09:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 09:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 09:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 10:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 10:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 10:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 11:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 11:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 11:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 11:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 12:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 12:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 12:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 13:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 14:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 14:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 14:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 15:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 16:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-10-16 17:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 17:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 17:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 17:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 17:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 17:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 18:00:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-10-16 18:10:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-10-16 18:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 18:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 18:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-10-16 18:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 18:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 18:50:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-10-16 19:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 19:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 19:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 19:15:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-10-16 19:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 19:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-10-16 19:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 19:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-10-16 19:45:00-07:0077.0°F
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2026-10-16 19:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 20:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 20:05:00-07:0075.2°F
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2026-10-16 20:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 20:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 20:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 20:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 20:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-10-16 21:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 21:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 22:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 22:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 23:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 23:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 23:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 23:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-10-16 23:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-16 23:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-10-17 00:30:00-07:0071.6°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-10-16 04:56:00-07:006 hours71.1°F
2026-10-16 10:56:00-07:006 hours77.0°F
2026-10-16 16:56:00-07:006 hours82.9°F
2026-10-16 22:56:00-07:006 hours82.0°F