Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 10:53 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 11:05:47 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 10:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 24, 12:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high79.0°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 69%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=17) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 82.6°F · learned residual -3.6°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
77° or below0.0%-1.0%
78° to 79°68.5%100¢-31.5%
80° to 81°31.1%+30.1%
82° to 83°0.4%-0.6%
84° to 85°0.0%-1.0%
86° or above0.0%-1.0%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputSep 4FriSep 5SatSep 6SunSep 7MonSep 8TueSep 9WedSep 10Thu
Observed high used75.9°F84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F
Hourly METAR temperature75.9°F84.0°F91.0°F97.0°F91.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL84.2°F91.4°F98.6°F91.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED75.9°F84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F

Sep 10 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations23
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-10 01:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 02:53:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 03:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 04:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 05:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 06:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 07:53:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 08:53:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 09:53:00-07:0086.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 10:53:00-07:0089.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 11:53:00-07:0091.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 12:53:00-07:0088.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 13:53:00-07:0088.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 14:53:00-07:0088.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 15:53:00-07:0084.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 16:53:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 17:53:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 18:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 19:53:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 20:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 21:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 22:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-10 23:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations280
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-10 01:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 01:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 01:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 01:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 01:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 01:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 01:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 02:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 03:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 03:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 03:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 03:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 03:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 04:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 04:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 05:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 05:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 06:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 06:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 07:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 07:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 08:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 08:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 08:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 08:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 08:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 08:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 09:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:10:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:30:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 09:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 09:40:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 09:45:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 09:50:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 09:55:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 10:00:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 10:05:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 10:10:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 10:15:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 10:20:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 10:25:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 10:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 10:35:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 10:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 10:45:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 10:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 10:55:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 11:00:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 11:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 11:10:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 11:15:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 11:20:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:25:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:30:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:35:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:40:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:45:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 11:50:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 12:00:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 12:05:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 12:10:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 12:15:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:20:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:25:00-07:0091.4°F
2026-09-10 12:30:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:40:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:45:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:50:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 12:55:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:00:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 13:10:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:15:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:20:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 13:25:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 13:30:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:35:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 13:40:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:45:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:50:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 13:55:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:00:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:05:00-07:0089.6°F
2026-09-10 14:10:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:15:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:20:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:25:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:30:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:35:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:40:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:45:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:50:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 14:55:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 15:00:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 15:05:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 15:10:00-07:0087.8°F
2026-09-10 15:15:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 15:20:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:25:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:30:00-07:0086.0°F
2026-09-10 15:35:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:40:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:45:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:50:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 15:55:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 16:00:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 16:05:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 16:10:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 16:15:00-07:0084.2°F
2026-09-10 16:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:40:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:45:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:50:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 16:55:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:15:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:25:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:30:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:35:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 17:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 17:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 17:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 17:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 18:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-10 18:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 18:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 18:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-10 18:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 18:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 19:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 20:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 21:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 22:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-10 22:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 22:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 22:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 22:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 22:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-10 23:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 23:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 23:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-10 23:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-11 00:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-11 00:30:00-07:0075.2°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-10 04:53:00-07:006 hours82.9°F
2026-09-10 10:53:00-07:006 hours89.1°F
2026-09-10 16:53:00-07:006 hours91.9°F
2026-09-10 22:53:00-07:006 hours82.9°F