Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 9:53 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 10:07:18 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 9:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 11:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high78.6°F ± 1.1°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 76%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 81.7°F · learned residual -3.1°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
77° or below0.0%-1.0%
78° to 79°76.0%100¢-24.0%
80° to 81°23.6%+22.6%
82° to 83°0.4%-0.6%
84° to 85°0.0%-1.0%
86° or above0.0%-1.0%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputSep 9WedSep 10ThuSep 11FriSep 12SatSep 13SunSep 14MonSep 15Tue
Observed high used99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F79.0°F80.1°F81.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature97.0°F91.0°F84.9°F81.0°F78.1°F78.1°F80.1°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL98.6°F91.4°F84.2°F82.4°F78.8°F80.6°F80.6°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F79.0°F80.1°F81.0°F

Sep 15 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations25
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-15 01:53:00-07:0069.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 02:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 03:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 04:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 05:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 06:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 07:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 08:47:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 08:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 09:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 10:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 11:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 12:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 13:53:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 14:53:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 15:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 16:53:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 17:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 18:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 19:39:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 19:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 20:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 21:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 22:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-15 23:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-15 01:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 01:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 02:55:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 03:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 03:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 04:40:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 05:35:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 05:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 05:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 05:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 06:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 06:45:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 07:25:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 07:45:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 08:05:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 08:15:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 08:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 08:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 08:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 08:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 08:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 08:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 08:55:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-09-15 10:05:00-07:0075.2°F
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2026-09-15 10:15:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-09-15 10:30:00-07:0075.2°F
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2026-09-15 11:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 11:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 11:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 11:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 11:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 11:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 11:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 11:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 12:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 12:05:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 12:35:00-07:0078.8°F
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2026-09-15 13:25:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-15 13:40:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-15 14:30:00-07:0080.6°F
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2026-09-15 14:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 14:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 14:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 14:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-15 15:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 15:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-15 15:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 15:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 16:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 16:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-15 16:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 16:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 16:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 16:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 17:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-15 17:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:25:00-07:0073.4°F
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2026-09-15 17:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 17:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 17:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 18:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 18:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-15 18:10:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 19:00:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-15 19:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-15 19:15:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 22:40:00-07:0069.8°F
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2026-09-15 23:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-15 23:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-16 00:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-16 00:05:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-16 00:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-16 00:30:00-07:0071.6°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-15 04:53:00-07:006 hours72.0°F
2026-09-15 10:53:00-07:006 hours75.9°F
2026-09-15 16:53:00-07:006 hours81.0°F
2026-09-15 22:53:00-07:006 hours75.9°F