Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 8:53 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 9:05:29 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 8:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 11:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high79.2°F ± 1.0°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 60%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=15) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 82.0°F · learned residual -2.8°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
77° or below0.0%-1.0%
78° to 79°60.4%100¢-39.6%
80° to 81°38.4%+37.4%
82° to 83°1.2%+0.2%
84° to 85°0.0%-1.0%
86° or above0.0%-1.0%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputSep 7MonSep 8TueSep 9WedSep 10ThuSep 11FriSep 12SatSep 13Sun
Observed high used84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F79.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature84.0°F91.0°F97.0°F91.0°F84.9°F81.0°F78.1°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL84.2°F91.4°F98.6°F91.4°F84.2°F82.4°F78.8°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F79.0°F

Sep 13 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations27
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-13 01:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 02:50:00-07:0069.8°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 02:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 03:53:00-07:0070.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 04:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 05:42:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 05:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 06:36:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 06:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 07:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 08:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 09:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 10:39:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 10:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 11:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 12:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 13:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 14:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 15:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 16:53:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 17:53:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 18:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 19:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 20:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 21:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 22:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-13 23:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-13 01:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 01:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 01:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 01:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 02:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 02:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 02:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 02:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 02:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 03:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:50:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 03:55:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:05:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 04:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:30:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 04:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 04:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 04:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 04:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 04:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 05:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 06:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 07:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 08:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 08:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 08:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 08:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 08:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 08:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 09:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 09:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 10:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 11:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 11:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 11:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 11:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 11:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 11:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 12:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 12:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 13:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 13:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 14:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 14:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 14:45:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 14:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-13 14:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 15:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:35:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 15:50:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 15:55:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 16:00:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 16:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 16:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-13 16:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 16:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-13 17:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 17:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 17:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 17:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 18:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-13 18:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 18:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 19:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:10:00-07:0071.6°F
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2026-09-13 20:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 20:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 21:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 22:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:00:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 23:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 23:35:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 23:40:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 23:45:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 23:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-14 00:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-14 00:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-14 00:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-14 00:15:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-14 00:20:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-14 00:25:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-14 00:30:00-07:0069.8°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-13 04:53:00-07:006 hours72.0°F
2026-09-13 10:53:00-07:006 hours77.0°F
2026-09-13 16:53:00-07:006 hours79.0°F
2026-09-13 22:53:00-07:006 hours75.9°F