New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 66.9°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 24, 12:05:43 AM UTC-04:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 11:51 PM UTC-04:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 10:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high67.5°F ± 0.9°F
Most likely bucket67° to 68° · 83%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 66.9°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 66.9°F · raw nowcast 69.8°F · learned residual -2.3°F · seasonal context 73.5°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64° or below | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 65° to 66° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 67° to 68° | 83.3% | 100¢ | -16.7% |
| 69° to 70° | 16.6% | 1¢ | +15.6% |
| 71° to 72° | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
| 73° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 12 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations24
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 01:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 02:51:00-04:00 | 64.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 03:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 04:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 05:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 06:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 07:51:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 08:18:00-04:00 | 66.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 08:51:00-04:00 | 69.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 09:51:00-04:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 10:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 11:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 12:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 13:51:00-04:00 | 78.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 14:51:00-04:00 | 77.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 15:51:00-04:00 | 75.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 16:51:00-04:00 | 75.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 17:51:00-04:00 | 73.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 18:51:00-04:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 19:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 20:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 21:51:00-04:00 | 72.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 22:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-12 23:51:00-04:00 | 71.1°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 73.0°F |
| 2026-09-12 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 66.9°F |
| 2026-09-12 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |
| 2026-09-12 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 78.1°F |