New York City daily high
Today’s probability estimate for KNYC.
TickerKXHIGHNY — New York City
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KNYCStandard METAR confirmed high 52.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026
Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.
PRODUCTION
Latest model runNov 8, 7:05:20 AM UTC-05:00
Source data generation timeNov 8, 6:51 AM UTC-05:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runNov 8, 5:05 AM PT
Predicted daily high59.5°F ± 1.7°F
Most likely bucket60° or below · 73%
Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=58) · confirmed METAR high 52.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR unavailable, monitor only · NWS baseline 60.0°F · raw nowcast 60.6°F · learned residual -1.1°F · seasonal context 58.9°F (n=75)
| Temperature bucket | Model probability | Kalshi YES ask | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60° or below | 72.7% | 69¢ | +3.7% |
| 61° to 62° | 23.6% | 26¢ | -2.4% |
| 63° to 64° | 3.6% | 4¢ | -0.4% |
| 65° to 66° | 0.1% | 1¢ | -0.9% |
| 67° to 68° | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
| 69° or above | 0.0% | 1¢ | -1.0% |
Model input data
Complete persisted inputs for New York City · KNYC. Missing observations are shown as —.
7-day observed high overview
Click a date to open its complete input timeline.
Sep 25 · complete input timeline
Source observation time in New York City local time.
No persisted input observations for this date.
6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations27
| Observed at | Temperature | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 01:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 02:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 03:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 04:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 05:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 06:51:00-04:00 | 57.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 07:51:00-04:00 | 57.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 08:51:00-04:00 | 59.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 09:51:00-04:00 | 61.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 10:44:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 10:51:00-04:00 | 63.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 11:51:00-04:00 | 64.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 12:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 13:01:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 13:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 14:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 15:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 16:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 17:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 18:47:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 18:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 18:58:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 19:51:00-04:00 | 68.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 20:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 21:51:00-04:00 | 66.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 22:51:00-04:00 | 55.9°F | AviationWeather METAR |
| 2026-09-25 23:51:00-04:00 | 57.0°F | AviationWeather METAR |
5-minute raw observations0
| Observed at | Temperature |
|---|---|
| — | |
6-hour max reports4
| Reported at | Period | Maximum |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 01:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 63.0°F |
| 2026-09-25 07:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 57.9°F |
| 2026-09-25 13:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 68.0°F |
| 2026-09-25 19:51:00-04:00 | 6 hours | 69.1°F |