Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas

NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 55.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company

Production · cutoff 3:56 AM UTC-08:00

Today’s forecast · Nov 8, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION

Latest model runNov 8, 4:05:10 AM UTC-08:00

Source data generation timeNov 8, 3:56 AM UTC-08:00

Model version0.3.2

Next automatic runNov 8, 5:05 AM PT

Predicted daily high74.5°F ± 1.3°F

Most likely bucket74° to 75° · 55%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=62) · confirmed METAR high 55.0°F (standard metar temperature) · HFMETAR provisional high 55.4°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 74.5°F · raw nowcast 74.4°F · learned residual +0.1°F · seasonal context 72.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucket	Model probability	Kalshi YES ask	Estimated edge
71° or below	1.2%	2¢	-0.8%
72° to 73°	20.8%	12¢	+8.8%
74° to 75°	54.5%	83¢	-28.5%
76° to 77°	22.2%	6¢	+16.2%
78° to 79°	1.3%	2¢	-0.7%
80° or above	0.0%	1¢	-1.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS

Input	Aug 31Mon	Sep 1Tue	Sep 2Wed	Sep 3Thu	Sep 4Fri	Sep 5Sat	Sep 6Sun
Observed high used	100.0°F	96.1°F	95.0°F	95.0°F	96.1°F	98.1°F	84.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature	100.0°F	96.1°F	95.0°F	95.0°F	96.1°F	98.1°F	84.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED	—	—	—	—	—	98.1°F	86.0°F

Sep 6 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.

Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT

Hourly raw observations24

Observed at	Temperature	Source
2026-09-06 01:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 02:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 03:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 04:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 05:56:00-07:00	82.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 06:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 07:56:00-07:00	84.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 08:56:00-07:00	82.9°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 09:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 10:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 11:56:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 12:56:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 13:03:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 13:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 14:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 15:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 16:56:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 17:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 18:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 19:56:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 20:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 21:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 22:56:00-07:00	78.1°F	AviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 23:56:00-07:00	77.0°F	AviationWeather METAR

5-minute raw observations0

Observed at	Temperature
—

6-hour max reports4

Reported at	Period	Maximum
2026-09-06 04:56:00-07:00	6 hours	86.0°F
2026-09-06 10:56:00-07:00	6 hours	84.0°F
2026-09-06 16:56:00-07:00	6 hours	79.0°F
2026-09-06 22:56:00-07:00	6 hours	78.1°F