Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Las Vegas daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAS.

TickerKXHIGHTLV — Las Vegas
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLASStandard METAR confirmed high 93.0°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 8:56 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 9:05:17 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 8:56 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 10:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high95.1°F ± 1.9°F
Most likely bucket95° to 96° · 43%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=27) · confirmed METAR high 93.0°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 93.2°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 93.0°F · raw nowcast 96.3°F · learned residual -1.1°F · seasonal context 92.5°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
90° or below0.0%-1.0%
91° to 92°0.0%-1.0%
93° to 94°31.5%100¢-68.5%
95° to 96°43.2%+42.2%
97° to 98°21.4%+20.4%
99° or above4.0%+3.0%

Telegram daily forecast

Every day at 2:30 PM PT, send the Forecast table’s Temperature bucket, Model probability and Kalshi YES ask.

14:30 PT

Uses the persisted forecast shown above and the existing administrator Telegram Bot / Chat ID. A stale target date is never sent. This is read-only model output, not an order or trade instruction.

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Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Las Vegas · KLAS. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAS
InputAug 31MonSep 1TueSep 2WedSep 3ThuSep 4FriSep 5SatSep 6Sun
Observed high used100.0°F96.1°F95.0°F95.0°F96.1°F98.1°F84.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature100.0°F96.1°F95.0°F95.0°F96.1°F98.1°F84.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED98.1°F86.0°F

Sep 6 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Las Vegas local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations24
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-06 01:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 02:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 03:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 04:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 05:56:00-07:0082.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 06:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 07:56:00-07:0084.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 08:56:00-07:0082.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 09:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 10:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 11:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 12:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 13:03:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 13:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 14:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 15:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 16:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 17:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 18:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 19:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 20:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 21:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 22:56:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-06 23:56:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations0
Observed atTemperature
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-06 04:56:00-07:006 hours86.0°F
2026-09-06 10:56:00-07:006 hours84.0°F
2026-09-06 16:56:00-07:006 hours79.0°F
2026-09-06 22:56:00-07:006 hours78.1°F