Weather Market Assistant CLOUD · PRODUCTION

Los Angeles daily high

Today’s probability estimate for KLAX.

TickerKXHIGHLAX — Los Angeles
NWS + AviationWeather + Kalshi · KLAXStandard METAR confirmed high 78.1°F · final market label from Kalshi / The Weather Company
Production · cutoff 9:53 PM UTC-07:00

Today’s forecast · Sep 23, 2026

Latest persisted model result; refreshing this page does not fetch data or run the model.

PRODUCTION
Latest model runSep 23, 10:07:18 PM UTC-07:00
Source data generation timeSep 23, 9:53 PM UTC-07:00
Model version0.3.2
Next automatic runSep 23, 11:05 PM PT
Predicted daily high78.6°F ± 1.1°F
Most likely bucket78° to 79° · 76%

Model 0.3.2 · ACTIVE calibration (same-hour settled n=16) · confirmed METAR high 78.1°F (standard metar 6h max) · HFMETAR provisional high 78.8°F, monitor only · NWS baseline 78.1°F · raw nowcast 81.7°F · learned residual -3.1°F · seasonal context 74.0°F (n=75)

Temperature bucketModel probabilityKalshi YES askEstimated edge
77° or below0.0%-1.0%
78° to 79°76.0%100¢-24.0%
80° to 81°23.6%+22.6%
82° to 83°0.4%-0.6%
84° to 85°0.0%-1.0%
86° or above0.0%-1.0%

Model input data

Complete persisted inputs for Los Angeles · KLAX. Missing observations are shown as —.

7-day observed high overview

Click a date to open its complete input timeline.

KLAX
InputSep 6SunSep 7MonSep 8TueSep 9WedSep 10ThuSep 11FriSep 12Sat
Observed high used75.9°F84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F
Hourly METAR temperature75.9°F84.0°F91.0°F97.0°F91.0°F84.9°F81.0°F
5-min HFMETAR peakPROVISIONAL84.2°F91.4°F98.6°F91.4°F84.2°F82.4°F
6-hour maxTCONFIRMED75.9°F84.9°F91.9°F99.0°F91.9°F84.9°F82.0°F

Sep 12 · complete input timeline

Source observation time in Los Angeles local time.

No persisted input observations for this date.
Hourly METAR temperature5-min Temp T6-hour maxT
Hourly raw observations28
Observed atTemperatureSource
2026-09-12 01:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 02:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 03:53:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 04:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 05:25:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 05:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 06:53:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 07:53:00-07:0073.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 08:45:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 08:53:00-07:0077.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 09:38:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 09:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 10:53:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 11:53:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 12:53:00-07:0080.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 13:53:00-07:0081.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 14:53:00-07:0079.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 15:53:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 16:12:00-07:0078.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 16:53:00-07:0075.9°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 17:53:00-07:0075.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 18:42:00-07:0073.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 18:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 19:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 20:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 21:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 22:53:00-07:0072.0°FAviationWeather METAR
2026-09-12 23:53:00-07:0071.1°FAviationWeather METAR
5-minute raw observations281
Observed atTemperature
2026-09-12 01:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 01:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 02:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 03:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 04:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 05:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 06:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 07:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 08:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 08:40:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 08:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 08:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 08:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 09:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 09:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 09:10:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 09:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 09:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 09:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 09:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 10:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 10:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 10:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 10:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 10:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 10:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:00:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-12 11:05:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-12 11:10:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-12 11:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:20:00-07:0082.4°F
2026-09-12 11:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 11:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 12:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 12:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 13:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 13:25:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:40:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:45:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:50:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 13:55:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:00:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:05:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:10:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:15:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:20:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 14:30:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:35:00-07:0080.6°F
2026-09-12 14:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 14:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 14:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 14:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:05:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:15:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:20:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:25:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:30:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:35:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:40:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:45:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:50:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 15:55:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 16:00:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 16:05:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:10:00-07:0078.8°F
2026-09-12 16:15:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:20:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:25:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:30:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 16:40:00-07:0077.0°F
2026-09-12 16:45:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 16:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 16:55:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:00:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:05:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:10:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:15:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:20:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:25:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:30:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:35:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 17:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 17:50:00-07:0075.2°F
2026-09-12 17:55:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:00:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:05:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:10:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:15:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:20:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:25:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:30:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:35:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:40:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:45:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:50:00-07:0073.4°F
2026-09-12 18:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 19:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 20:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 21:55:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 22:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:10:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:30:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:35:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:40:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:45:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-12 23:50:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:00:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:05:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:10:00-07:0069.8°F
2026-09-13 00:15:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:20:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:25:00-07:0071.6°F
2026-09-13 00:30:00-07:0071.6°F
6-hour max reports4
Reported atPeriodMaximum
2026-09-12 04:53:00-07:006 hours75.0°F
2026-09-12 10:53:00-07:006 hours81.0°F
2026-09-12 16:53:00-07:006 hours82.0°F
2026-09-12 22:53:00-07:006 hours75.9°F